LA Rams Odds Of Winning Super Bowl: Too High, Too Low Or Just Right?

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The Los Angeles Rams had a magical 2021 NFL season, overcoming all obstacles to win the organization’s first Super Bowl in more than 20 years.

Now, the Rams are looking to defend their title, although if the first two weeks of the 2022 season have told us anything, it’s that it will not be an easy task.

After being thoroughly beaten by the Buffalo Bills at home in Week 1, the Rams bounced back with a win over the Atlanta Falcons in Week 2. Even that one didn’t come easy though as the Rams jumped out to a 28-3 lead before almost blowing it, needing a Jalen Ramsey interception in the end zone late in the fourth quarter to secure the victory.

Despite getting in the win column in Week 2, the first two Rams games of the season haven’t exactly instilled confidence in the fanbase, experts and gambling sites across the country.

The Rams came into the season with +1200 odds to win the Super Bowl, good for fourth-best in the league on DraftKings. 

Now, just two weeks into the season, the Rams have dropped to +1500, which has them tied for sixth in the league.

Rams positives and negatives

With only two games to go off, it’s really too early to say who will or will not make the playoffs, let alone who will be playing in the Super Bowl in February.

As far as the Rams go though, there was a lot to take away from the first two games, both positive and negative.

The first thing worth mentioning is the injuries as they already seem to be piling up for L.A. The offensive line, in particular, is banged up with Logan Bruss, Brian Allen and Tremayne Anchrum all getting hurt. That’s in addition to other key players like Troy Hill, Van Jefferson and Kyren Williams all dealing with injuries, not to mention Matthew Stafford’s elbow being something to monitor all season.

If this trend continues, then it’s hard to see the Rams getting back to the Super Bowl. This is a team and roster that is very top-heavy with a number of late-round picks and undrafted players expected to contribute at various positions. Because of how top-heavy the Rams are, they lack depth in key areas and if injuries continue to pile up, that depth will get exposed.

Even just looking at the first two weeks, the Rams rank 26th in offensive yards per game and 16th in yards allowed defensively. The Rams’ five sacks are middle-of-the-pack and the defense has struggled mightily to get off the field with opponents converting 60% of third down plays so far, the worst mark in the league.

Now, are some of these mistakes correctable? Absolutely. After all, none of the Rams’ starters played a single snap in the preseason.

Additionally, Sean McVay has proven to be one of the best coaches in the league, while Stafford and Cooper Kupp have a magical connection and the team’s defense still employs Aaron Donald and Ramsey.

This is an experienced group that knows what it takes it win it all. And when looking at the NFC, the path for L.A. will be much easier than the AFC.

The verdict

One thing I think is worth pointing out is that the NFL hasn’t seen a repeat champion since the New England Patriots in 2004 and 2005, and there’s a reason for that. Repeating is really hard!

Teams lose key players and coaches after winning a Super Bowl, other players get complacent, some aren’t able to recover after the short offseason.

But while the odds are definitely stacked against the Rams, I’m not gonna write them off after just two weeks. There’s just too much talent in that locker room.

With all of that being said, my verdict is that the Rams’ Super Bowl odds, currently sixth-best in the league, are right where they should be. I think some other teams like the Bills and Kansas City Chiefs have shown they deserve to be at the top of the list, but after them, the Rams belong in that next tier and I look forward to them proving the naysayers wrong as the season goes along.