Los Angeles Rams Super Bowl LVII Odds Following NFL Draft
The defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams are among the biggest favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy again in 2023.
The Rams are listed at 10/1 odds to win Super Bowl LVII, per DraftKings Sportsbook. Los Angeles’ odds are tied for the third-shortest along with the Kansas City Chiefs and the Green Bay Packers. The only two teams ahead of the Rams are the Buffalo Bills (6/1) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7/1).
The Rams are clearly running it back for a repeat, something that hasn’t happened since the New England Patriots won in 2004 and 2005. But is Los Angeles worth a bet at these odds?
Super Bowl LVII Top 10 Odds
Below is a list of the top 10 favorites to win Super Bowl LVII, per DraftKings:
- Buffalo Bills +600
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +700
- Los Angeles Rams +1000
- Kansas City Chiefs +1000
- Green Bay Packers +1000
- Los Angeles Chargers +1400
- San Francisco 49ers +1600
- Denver Broncos +1600
- Cleveland Browns +1800
- Dallas Cowboys +1800
Los Angeles Rams offseason recap
Rams general manager Les Snead deserves a ton of credit. Despite rigid salary cap restraints, Snead keeps finding ways to add star power to his roster. This year, Los Angeles’ most notable free agency additions were linebacker Bobby Wagner and receiver Allen Robinson.
Wagner will immediately upgrade Los Angeles’ weakest unit defensively. Meanwhile, Robinson could serve as an outstanding WR2 alongside Cooper Kupp if he can stay healthy. Robinson has put up 1,000-yard seasons with the likes of Blake Bortles and Mitch Trubisky throwing to him. Imagine what’s possible with Matthew Stafford feeding him.
Los Angeles resigning Odell Beckham Jr. also looms as a possibility. Meanwhile, they maintained continuity on the offensive line by re-signing left tackle Joe Noteboom and starting center Brian Allen.
Los Angeles lost star pass rusher Von Miller via free agency. But the pass rush will remain formidable so long as Aaron Donald is anchoring it.
Once again, the Rams were without their first and second-round draft picks. However, the Rams had eight Day 3 selections and used half of them to address holes in the secondary. If Los Angeles can find a few key role players in this class, it’ll be a big win for a team that’s focused on winning now.
Schedule breakdown
The Rams 2022 schedule features 10 matchups against playoff teams from a season ago, plus games against Denver, New Orleans and the L.A. Chargers. Four of their first five games are against Buffalo, Arizona, San Francisco and Dallas.
Los Angeles’ path doesn’t get easier after its Week 7 bye. The Rams host San Francisco off the bye, travel to Tampa Bay, host Arizona, then play back-to-back road games at New Orleans and Kansas City.
It’s important to avoid putting too much stock into schedules, as we’re essentially basing our analysis off of last season’s results. But it’s worth mentioning that, on paper, Los Angeles’ brutal schedule could set up for some buying opportunities at better odds throughout the year.
Path to repeating
While the Rams will face a tough schedule in 2022, they’ll benefit from being in the shallower NFC. Brady and the Buccaneers are the biggest threat to unseating Los Angeles atop the NFC. The Bucs have the most complete roster in the conference but will now be coached by Todd Bowles after Bruce Arians surprisingly retired.
Meanwhile, there are significant questions about Green Bay and San Francisco offensively. Aaron Rodgers will be asked to gel with new weapons after the team traded Davante Adams to Las Vegas. San Francisco will likely open the season with second-year pro Trey Lance under center. After looking inexperienced in a couple of appearances last season, Lance is a complete wild card entering year two. Dallas, Philadelphia, Arizona and New Orleans all have the upside to make a push, but also have more flaws than the conference’s elite teams.
Should you buy the Rams at 10/1?
Oddsmakers have every right to list the Rams among the top favorites to win Super Bowl LVII. However, I suspect there will be better buying opportunities once the season gets underway.
The Super Bowl hangover narrative is a tricky one to incorporate into analysis. But I could see Los Angeles being more “hungover,” than other past champions. We heard chatter immediately after the Rams won Super Bowl LVI about Sean McVay and Donald potentially walking away from football. And Stafford’s rise up the NFL mountaintop has been well chronicled.
All of this makes me wonder where the team’s motivation will be entering the season after reaching the pinnacle. The Rams might not be complacent, but they could be a little less hungry than they were a year ago.
Pair that with a daunting start to the season, and there’s a chance Los Angeles stumbles out of the gates. The Rams have ample talent to recover, but a sluggish start could yield value on their Super Bowl futures.
If you believe the Rams have a legitimate chance to repeat, I’d wait and hope for a better number once the season starts.
