The Los Angeles Rams are not the chalk in pursuit of an elusive Super Bowl repeat.
But they are still well-regarded.
Oddsmakers and the general public consider them a good, yet not exceptionally great shot at becoming the first team since the 2004 and 2005 New England Patriots to hoist two straight Vince Lombardi trophies.
Here are five areas on the DraftKings board that reflect that.
The Rams have the fifth-highest odds to win the Super Bowl
Here’s who’s ahead of them:
- The Buffalo Bills are the leaders at +600
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers follow at +700
- The Kansas City Chiefs are next at + 1000 along with the Green Bay Packers.
And then comes the team that knocked off Tampa Bay last year en route to winning it all.
Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told MyLAsports:
“We’ve got them as 12-1 to repeat and the action has been what I would consider okay on them. A lot of their season could revolve around Matthew Stafford. How bad is that elbow injury?
“The backups for that team are very inexperienced.
“They also lost some solid contributors from last year in Darious Williams (to the Jacksonville Jaguars) and Odell Beckham Jr. (undecided). They have to replace those guys and you have to remember they were pretty fortunate.”
Yes, they were.
The betting gods don’t think a scene like this will come true again for the Rams:
The Rams entered the post-season as the No. 4. seed. And in the year the NFC West sent three teams to the postseason, the Rams had to beat both the Arizona Cardinals and the 49ers to advance.
They toppled the Cardinals in the opening round, while the Niners did some dirty work for them, notching consecutive road upsets over the Dallas Cowboys and the the No. 1 seeded Green Bay Packers.
The Rams did something monumental in knocking off the defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers on the road in round 2.
They then had to snap a six-game losing streak against the Niners to reach the Super Bowl. They did that, and voila, the Super Bowl was right in their own Sofi Stadium.
Because the Packers were knocked off and because the Super Bowl was on their turf, the Rams played three of their four postseason games at home. That’s practically unheard of.
The Rams also got a fortunate call on a pass-interference call when they were two plays from extinction against the Cincinnati Bengals in the big game.
Everything fell into place. When it’s your year, that happens.
But it’s hard to line up the karma two years in a row.
Win total props are lower than last year
The Rams are projected at over 10.5 wins in a 17-game schedule. They were 12-5 last year.
The under 10.5 -115, the over is -105.
The money says they win 10 games, probably reach the playoffs and then will have to create another magical post-season run.
Stafford’s links to other props
“We have Cooper Kupp at 1,300 yards,” Arvelo noted about the season-long receiving prop for the Rams’ elite game-breaking receiver. “He makes that team go. On the other hand, you need a quarterback who can throw to him.”
Kupp can have some big games with well over 100 yards but will have to average 77 yards a game to reach the total. That’s a good chance to hit if Stafford plays every game, a crapshoot if he doesn’t.
Kupp is a betting magnet at the book. Stafford will have a lot to do about whether he reaches them.
Kupp is the only wide receiver on the board with a prop above 100 receptions.
He has a gaudy number of 111.5 catches with the under at -115 and the over at +100,
Kupp also has an over-under of 11.5 touchdowns. Each side is -115.
There is another factor that’s good for the Rams but perhaps not good for Kupp.
New receiver Allen Robinson reportedly fostered a chemistry with Stafford early in training camp.
Robinson exceeded 1,000 receiving yards for two straight years before slumping to 410 with the Chicago Bears last year. Should he click with Stafford and regain past numbers, that could impact Kupp’s totals.
Stafford has a couple of props up too.
One is a season passing total of 4,500.5 yards with the under at -115 and the over at -105. Last year’s form would put him over.
Here’s one for the optimist. Will Stafford have at least two games with more than 399.5 passing yards? That’s +200. He had none last year.
Miscellaneous Rams considerations
Robinson also is teamed with Van Jefferson to exceed 1,499.5 combined receiving yards. The price is +160.
That bet has a lot of risk for little reward because Jefferson has undergone two offseason knee surgeries and is uncertain for Week 1.
Cam Akers, the Rams’ rushing workhorse, has a prop listed for over 999.5 rushing yards and 8.5 rushing TDs at +225.
Will the Rams win more than four games in the division? Well, they are only playing six games, so this bet means they would have to go 5-1 or better.
They’re -150 on the under 4 and +120 over 4.
If you think the Rams won’t win at least four of their six division games, you have to lay some big juice. And for a team to go 5-1 or better in their division should be a higher price than +120. This is a tough call for bettors.
If the Rams land right on four, which is logical, the under loses, and the over is a push. Tread carefully on this one.
What will the Rams’ exact placing be in the NFC West?
- First place is +120
- Second is +210
- Third is +950
- Fourth is +900.
If you like the Rams to finish first, take the +125 bet to win the division if that difference still exists when you go to bet.
The Rams open the entire NFL season on Sept. 8, hosting the Buffalo Bills.
They are +2 in a unique and telling number. It shows they are respected but that a change of the guard is anticipated.